Both teams to score
Yes63%
Fair price 1.59
No37%
Fair price 2.70
All matches
Sporting CP vs Manchester United prediction
Europe, UEFA Champions League · UTC
VARStats prediction for 25 November: Manchester United 40%, Sporting CP 36%, draw 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%25%40%
Sporting CP36%Draw25%Manchester United40%
Manchester United: last match 3 days ago · short rest
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Sporting CP2.80—
XDraw4.04—
2Manchester United2.53—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
3 days free →Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4542 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4527 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4514 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
3 days free →This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Most likely score
The three most likely scores according to the model. A probability, not a guarantee.
- 1:1
- 1:2
- 2:1
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sporting CPManchester United
Sporting Clube de Portugal 36%, Manchester United FC 40%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Sporting Clube de Portugal 36%Draw 25%Manchester United FC 40%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium
3 days free →More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 21.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
3 days free →Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSporting CPManchester UnitedCombined
Goals scored1.601.002.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
3 days free →Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Sporting CP- 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 2:0, 1:2, 2:3, 2:0
- 14 days’ rest vs 3 for the opponent
- 2.4 goals per game at home8 matches
Manchester United- Winless away in 7 matches0:2, 1:4, 1:1, 0:2, 1:1
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
- One win in the last 5 matches3:2, 0:2, 0:3, 1:4, 1:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Sporting CP
- awayShakhtar Donetsk1:0
- awayCasa Pia2:0
- homeAcademico de Viseu1:2
- homeLASK2:3
- awayLens2:0
Manchester United
- homeRoma3:2
- awayChelsea0:2
- homeBournemouth0:3
- awayComo1:4
- awayLeeds United1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
More matches in this competition
Europe, UEFA Champions League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
3 days free →Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.