Both teams to score
Yes45%
ours 2.20
No55%
ours 1.83
All matches
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Sporting Clube de Portugal — Academico de Viseu FC, Liga NOS
Portugal, Liga NOS
Sporting Clube de Portugal
4.0DDWWWAcademico de Viseu FC
2.3WWWLDOutcome probability
80
Sporting Clube de Portugal80%Draw14%Academico de Viseu FC6%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sporting Clube de Portugal1.25—
XDraw7.40—
2Academico de Viseu FC15.95—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSporting Clube de PortugalAcademico de Viseu FCCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded0.671.001.67
Corners5.77.66.6
Cards3.33.06.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Sporting Clube de PortugalAcademico de Viseu FC2Matches in 14 days04.1Days of rest143Table position753.30%Possession45.80% - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Sporting Clube de Portugal look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 80%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Form and context
Sporting Clube de Portugal
- homeFC Arouca2:2
- awayFC Famalicão1:1
- homeGalatasaray3:1
- homeCD Nacional Funchal2:0
- awayRio Ave FC4:0
Academico de Viseu FC
- awayEstrela Amadora2:0
- homeVitória Guimarães SC2:1
- awayGil Vicente FC1:0
- homeFC Porto0:3
- awayCS Marítimo Funchal2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC Porto770018:321
FC Porto770018:3212
SL Benfica751122:716
SL Benfica751122:7163Sporting Clube de Portugal743017:815
Sporting Clube de Portugal743017:8154
CD Santa Clara743011:415
CD Santa Clara743011:4155
FC Arouca732210:711
FC Arouca732210:7116
Sporting Braga63217:511
Sporting Braga63217:5117Academico de Viseu FC73229:911
Academico de Viseu FC73229:9118
Estrela Amadora724114:1410
Estrela Amadora724114:14109
Gil Vicente FC62225:58
Gil Vicente FC62225:58