Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.24
All matches
—
Internacional — Coritiba, Serie A
Brazil, Serie A
Internacional
1.7LWLLD
Coritiba
2.3LDLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
54%25%21%
Internacional54%Draw25%Coritiba21%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Internacional1.87—
XDraw3.97—
2Coritiba4.69—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricInternacionalCoritibaCombined
Goals scored0.000.000.00
Conceded0.170.831.00
Corners6.014.010.0
Cards3.02.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
InternacionalCoritiba
SC Internacional 53%, Coritiba FBC 21%. The safest is “SC Internacional or draw” at 83%.
SC Internacional 53%Draw 25%Coritiba FBC 21%
1st half
42 · 38 · 20
2nd half
43 · 35 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Internacional
- awaySao Paulo0:1
- awayChapecoense2:1
- homeSantos2:3
- awayBahia2:3
- homeCA Mineiro0:0
Coritiba
- awayVasco da Gama0:5
- homeCA Paranaense3:3
- homeMirassol1:2
- awayRemo3:2
- homeCorinthians2:1
Head to head
- 05/09/26Serie A2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
CA Mineiro28127937:3243
CA Mineiro28127937:32438
Santos28118943:4141
Santos28118943:41419Coritiba281081037:4338
Coritiba281081037:433810
Sao Paulo281061233:3236
Sao Paulo281061233:323611
Red Bull Bragantino281061233:3236
Red Bull Bragantino281061233:323612
Botafogo28981141:4535
Botafogo28981141:453513
Vitoria28961328:4233
Vitoria28961328:423314
Corinthians28881229:3232
Corinthians28881229:323215
Mirassol28881233:4232
Mirassol28881233:423216
Vasco da Gama27871234:4131
Vasco da Gama27871234:413117
Gremio28781330:3829
Gremio28781330:382918Internacional286101230:3628
Internacional286101230:362819
Remo28581532:4723
Remo28581532:472320
Chapecoense27391529:5318
Chapecoense27391529:5318Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.