Both teams to score
Yes43%
ours 2.32
No57%
ours 1.76
All matches
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Fluminense FC — SC Internacional, Serie A
Brazil, Serie A
Fluminense FC
2.6WLWDWSC Internacional
1.7LWLLDOutcome probability
622315
Fluminense FC62%Draw23%SC Internacional15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Fluminense FC1.62—
XDraw4.35—
2SC Internacional6.60—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFluminense FCSC InternacionalCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners9.56.07.8
Cards3.53.06.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
Fluminense FCSC Internacional4Table position1848.00%Possession46.50%4Days of rest4.12Matches in 14 days2 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
Fluminense FC look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 62%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
69%
Form and context
Fluminense FC
- awaySC Corinthians Paulista3:1
- awayCA Mineiro1:3
- homeCR Vasco da Gama1:0
- awayCA Paranaense3:3
- homeClube do Remo2:1
SC Internacional
- awaySão Paulo FC0:1
- awayChapecoense AF2:1
- homeSantos FC Sao Paulo2:3
- awayEC Bahia2:3
- homeCA Mineiro0:0
Head to head
- 05/03/26Serie A0:2
- 10/25/25Serie A1:0
- 06/01/25Serie A2:0
- 11/08/24Serie A0:2
- 07/04/24Serie A1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
SE Palmeiras28169347:2157
SE Palmeiras28169347:21573
CA Paranaense28147743:3249
CA Paranaense28147743:32494Fluminense FC28139644:3648
Fluminense FC28139644:36485
EC Bahia281210643:3546
EC Bahia281210643:35466
Cruzeiro EC28136942:4045
Cruzeiro EC28136942:40457
CA Mineiro27117936:3240
CA Mineiro27117936:32408
Santos FC Sao Paulo27108941:4038
Santos FC Sao Paulo27108941:40389
Coritiba FBC281081037:4338
Coritiba FBC281081037:433810
Clube Atlético Bragantino271061133:3136
Clube Atlético Bragantino271061133:313611
São Paulo FC271061132:3036
São Paulo FC271061132:303612
Botafogo FR28981141:4535
Botafogo FR28981141:453513
EC Vitória28961328:4233
EC Vitória28961328:423314
SC Corinthians Paulista28881229:3232
SC Corinthians Paulista28881229:323215
Mirassol Futebol Clube28881233:4232
Mirassol Futebol Clube28881233:423216
CR Vasco da Gama27871234:4131
CR Vasco da Gama27871234:413117
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense28781330:3829
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense28781330:382918SC Internacional286101230:3628
SC Internacional286101230:362819
Clube do Remo28581532:4723
Clube do Remo28581532:472320
Chapecoense AF27391529:5318
Chapecoense AF27391529:5318