Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.72
No42%
ours 2.40
All matches
—
Vasteras — Brommapojkarna, Allsvenskan
Sweden, Allsvenskan
Vasteras
1.5WWLWD
Brommapojkarna
1.4LLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%24%29%
Vasteras47%Draw24%Brommapojkarna29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Vasteras2.11—
XDraw4.17—
2Brommapojkarna3.50—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricVasterasBrommapojkarnaCombined
Goals scored1.000.171.17
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners9.012.510.8
Cards1.00.01.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
VasterasBrommapojkarna
Västerås SK Fotboll 47%, IF Brommapojkarna 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Västerås SK Fotboll 47%Draw 24%IF Brommapojkarna 29%
1st half
37 · 38 · 25
2nd half
35 · 37 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Vasteras
- homeMalmo2:0
- awayAIK4:1
- homeSirius0:1
- awayHacken3:1
- homeKalmar FF0:0
Brommapojkarna
- homeIFK Goteborg0:1
- awayHammarby1:3
- homeElfsborg2:1
- awayGAIS0:4
- homeDegerfors2:0
Head to head
- 04/26/26Allsvenskan2:1
- 09/30/24Allsvenskan1:2
- 05/26/24Allsvenskan1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Elfsborg22107531:2237
Elfsborg22107531:22375
Hacken2299439:3036
Hacken2299439:30366Vasteras22105734:3535
Vasteras22105734:35357
Malmo22103937:3333
Malmo22103937:33338
AIK2195730:3332
AIK2195730:33329
IFK Goteborg2295831:4132
IFK Goteborg2295831:413210
GAIS2186728:1830
GAIS2186728:183011Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
Brommapojkarna2276930:362712
Mjallby21561026:3721
Mjallby21561026:372113
Degerfors21541219:3219
Degerfors21541219:3219Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.