Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.22
All matches
Degerfors IF — Vasteras, Allsvenskan
Sweden, Allsvenskan
Degerfors IF
1.3LDLWL
Vasteras
1.9WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
29%23%49%
Degerfors IFMarket 2.6529%DrawMarket 3.2523%VasterasMarket 2.5049%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Degerfors IF3.512.65-6.3
XDraw4.353.25-5.4
2Vasteras2.062.50+11.6
Big gap with the market. Usually the market knows something the model doesn’t: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2671 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2666 matches
Cards
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2655 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Degerfors IFVasteras
Degerfors IF 29%, Västerås SK Fotboll 49%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Degerfors IF 29%Draw 23%Västerås SK Fotboll 49%
1st half
24 · 39 · 36
2nd half
29 · 40 · 32
Bookmakers: 2.65 · 3.25 · 2.50
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 10.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDegerfors IFVasterasCombined
Goals scored0.801.402.20
Conceded1.200.601.80
Corners12.49.010.7
Cards1.61.83.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Degerfors IF- Relegation zone: 14th of 16
- One win in the last 5 matches1:2, 1:1, 0:1, 2:0, 0:2
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Vasteras- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
- 2nd in the league for shots — 15.4 per match16 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Degerfors IF
- homeKalmar FF1:2
- awayMjallby1:1
- homeHammarby0:1
- homeHalmstads2:0
- awayElfsborg0:2
Vasteras
- homeMjallby1:0
- awayIFK Goteborg0:1
- homeMalmo2:0
- awayAIK4:1
- homeSirius0:1
Head to head
- 07/12/26Allsvenskan0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Hacken24119443:3042
Hacken24119443:30425
Elfsborg24118537:2441
Elfsborg24118537:24416Vasteras24115835:3638
Vasteras24115835:36387
Malmo241131038:3436
Malmo241131038:34368
IFK Goteborg24106834:4336
IFK Goteborg24106834:43369
AIK2396837:4133
AIK2396837:413310
GAIS2386930:2330
GAIS2386930:233011
Brommapojkarna24861036:4330
Brommapojkarna24861036:433012
Mjallby23571127:3922
Mjallby23571127:392213
Kalmar FF24641423:3822
Kalmar FF24641423:382214Degerfors IF23551321:3520
Degerfors IF23551321:352015
Örgryte IS24461429:5418
Örgryte IS24461429:541816
Halmstads24351616:4514
Halmstads24351616:4514Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.