All matches

IF Brommapojkarna — Djurgårdens IF, Allsvenskan

Sweden, Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna
1.4LLWLW
—
Djurgårdens IF
2.8LWWWW
Outcome probability
222256
IF Brommapojkarna22%Draw22%Djurgårdens IF56%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IF Brommapojkarna22%4.56—
XDraw22%4.60—
2Djurgårdens IF56%1.77—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.96

No49%

ours 2.04

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaDjurgårdens IFCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded1.500.331.83
Corners9.87.08.4
Cards1.01.52.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    IF BrommapojkarnaDjurgårdens IF
    11Table position3
    6.2Days of rest5.2
    56.50%Possession53.00%
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Away from home, Djurgårdens IF still look stronger — an away win is rated at 56%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

IF Brommapojkarna

  • homeIFK Göteborg0:1
  • awayHammarby IF1:3
  • homeIF Elfsborg2:1
  • awayGAIS0:4
  • homeDegerfors2:0

Djurgårdens IF

  • homeIF Elfsborg1:2
  • awayKalmar FF1:0
  • awayMjällby AIF2:0
  • homeMjällby AIF4:0
  • awayMalmö FF3:0

Head to head

  • 05/22/26Allsvenskan2:1
  • 08/24/25Allsvenskan0:1
  • 05/29/25Allsvenskan0:1
  • 09/25/24Allsvenskan1:2
  • 05/16/24Allsvenskan0:5

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1IK Sirius Fotboll21153350:2848
2Hammarby IF22134549:2043
3Djurgårdens IF21122745:2138
4IF Elfsborg22107531:2237
5BK Häcken2299439:3036
6Västerås SK Fotboll22105734:3535
7Malmö FF22103937:3333
8AIK Fotboll2195730:3332
9IFK Göteborg2295831:4132
10GAIS2186728:1830
11IF Brommapojkarna2276930:3627
12Mjällby AIF21561026:3721
13Degerfors21541219:3219

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.