Kudrivka vs Metalist Kharkiv prediction

Ukraine, Premier League28 November at 00:00 · UTC

VARStats prediction for 28 November: Metalist Kharkiv 66%, draw 24%, Kudrivka 10%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Kudrivka

1.3LLWLL

Metalist Kharkiv

2.7WWWWW

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability

24%66%

Kudrivka10%Draw24%Metalist Kharkiv66%

Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days

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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ

1Kudrivka10%10.17—

XDraw24%4.14—

2Metalist Kharkiv66%1.51—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes36%

Fair price 2.75

No64%

Fair price 1.57

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4542 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4527 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4514 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Most likely score

The three most likely scores according to the model. A probability, not a guarantee.

0:1Kudrivka — Metalist Kharkiv · 17 %
0:2Kudrivka — Metalist Kharkiv · 16 %
0:0Kudrivka — Metalist Kharkiv · 11 %

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KudrivkaMetalist Kharkiv

FK Kudrivka 10%, FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 66%. The safest is “FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or draw” at 92%.

FK Kudrivka 10%Draw 24%FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 66%

1st half

16 · 45 · 39

2nd half

12 · 34 · 55

Both teams to score?

How many goals?

How many corners?

How many yellow cards?

How many shots?

How many fouls?

How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price

Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%

High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKudrivkaMetalist KharkivCombined

Goals scored1.402.604.00

Conceded

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

Shots

Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.