All matches

LNZ Cherkasy FC — FK Kudrivka, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

LNZ Cherkasy FC
2.2LWDLW
—
FK Kudrivka
1.2LLLDD
Outcome probability
6623
LNZ Cherkasy FC66%Draw23%FK Kudrivka11%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1LNZ Cherkasy FC66%1.52—
XDraw23%4.38—
2FK Kudrivka11%8.83—

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes31%

ours 3.20

No69%

ours 1.45

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLNZ Cherkasy FCFK KudrivkaCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded1.331.833.16
Corners7.55.66.5
Cards1.73.45.1
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    LNZ Cherkasy FCFK Kudrivka
    0Matches in 14 days1
    7Table position16
    14Days of rest8
    40.20%Possession48.40%
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    Home advantage and current form favour LNZ Cherkasy FC: a home win is rated at 66%.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

LNZ Cherkasy FC

  • awayFC Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
  • homeFC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv3:1
  • awayFC Dynamo Kyiv0:0
  • homeFC Veres Rivne0:1
  • homeFK Chornomorets Odessa2:0

FK Kudrivka

  • homeFK Kolos Kovalivka2:3
  • awayPolessya Zhitomir1:5
  • homeFK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0:3
  • homeFC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv0:0
  • awayFK Livyi Bereh0:0

Head to head

  • 05/18/26Ukrainian Premier League0:1
  • 11/29/25Ukrainian Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv640212:412
6FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
7LNZ Cherkasy FC72235:88
8FC Zorya Luhansk72237:118
9FK Livyi Bereh61414:37
10FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
11FC Veres Rivne61324:56
12FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:105
13FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
14FK Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
15FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124
16FK Kudrivka60244:162

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.