All matches

Kryvbas — Dynamo Kyiv, Premier League

Ukraine, Premier League

Kryvbas
2.0DLLDL
  
Dynamo Kyiv
3.0WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
14%23%63%
KryvbasMarket 8.0014%DrawMarket 5.0123%Dynamo KyivMarket 1.3863%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kryvbas14%12%7.068.00+2.3
XDraw23%19%4.335.01+4.1
2Dynamo Kyiv63%69%1.591.38-6.3

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72book 1.81

No42%

ours 2.38book 1.91

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3520 matches

Corners

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3509 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3486 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KryvbasDynamo Kyiv

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14%, FC Dynamo Kyiv 63%. The safest is “FC Dynamo Kyiv or draw” at 86%.

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14%Draw 23%FC Dynamo Kyiv 63%
1st half
23 · 33 · 44
2nd half
14 · 32 · 54

Bookmakers: 8.00 · 5.01 · 1.38

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Under 27.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKryvbasDynamo KyivCombined
Goals scored0.402.002.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Kryvbas
  • Winless at home in 5 matches0:3, 2:2, 1:1, 1:4, 2:3
  • Winless in 6 matches0:0, 0:3, 0:1, 2:2, 0:1
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches0:0, 0:3, 0:1, 2:2, 0:1
Dynamo Kyiv
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 53:1, 1:3, 1:0, 2:0, 3:0
  • Most corners in the league in their matches — 12.0 per match16 teams in the league
  • Won 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings6:5, 4:0, 2:0, 2:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Kryvbas

  • awayBukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
  • homeLNZ Cherkasy0:3
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:1
  • homeKolos Kovalivka2:2
  • awayChornomorets Odessa0:1

Dynamo Kyiv

  • homeKudrivka3:1
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr1:3
  • homeKarpaty Lviv1:0
  • awayZorya Luhansk2:0
  • homeEpitsentr Dunayivtsi3:0

Head to head

  • 04/26/26Premier League5:6
  • 10/26/25Premier League0:4
  • 04/12/25Premier League0:2
  • 10/06/24Premier League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Shakhtar Donetsk1081120:525
3Metalist Kharkiv970218:721
4Dynamo Kyiv961214:919
5Karpaty Lviv1044217:816
6LNZ Cherkasy1043310:915
7Zorya Luhansk1043312:1315
8Kolos Kovalivka932412:1311
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1023510:149
10Bukovyna Chernivtsi101637:129
11Veres Rivne102356:139
12Livyi Bereh91536:88
13Obolon-Brovar Kyiv91444:157
14Kryvbas81347:136
15Chornomorets Odessa91355:116
16Kudrivka1012711:245

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.