All matches

FC Veres Rivne — FK Kudrivka, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

FC Veres Rivne
1.5DDWDL
—
FK Kudrivka
1.2LLLDD
Outcome probability
473023
FC Veres Rivne47%Draw30%FK Kudrivka23%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Veres Rivne47%50%2.142.02-3.0
XDraw30%29%3.313.50+1.7
2FK Kudrivka23%27%4.323.74-3.6

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes43%

ours 2.35book 1.97

No57%

ours 1.74book 1.76

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC Veres RivneFK KudrivkaCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.832.673.50
Corners8.26.07.1
Cards2.53.25.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.

  1. 1

    Signals

    Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.

    FC Veres RivneFK Kudrivka
    11Table position16
    41.70%Possession45.20%
    12.9Days of rest13
    1Matches in 14 days1
  2. 2

    Reading

    Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.

    FC Veres Rivne look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 47%. Bookmakers price this at 2.02.

    Most likely scorelines:…

  3. 3

    Conclusion

    Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.

    Safe pick
    Risky pick

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

FC Veres Rivne

  • awayFC Karpaty Lviv1:1
  • homeFC Zorya Luhansk1:1
  • awayLNZ Cherkasy FC1:0
  • awayFK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0:0
  • homeFC Dynamo Kyiv1:2

FK Kudrivka

  • homeFK Kolos Kovalivka2:3
  • awayPolessya Zhitomir1:5
  • homeFK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0:3
  • homeFC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv0:0
  • awayFK Livyi Bereh0:0

Head to head

  • 03/14/26Ukrainian Premier League0:0
  • 09/12/25Ukrainian Premier League2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9FK Livyi Bereh61414:37
10FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
11FC Veres Rivne61324:56
12FK Hirnyk Kryvyi Rih61237:105
13FK Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
14FK Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
15FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124
16FK Kudrivka60244:162

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.