All matches

Zorya Luhansk — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

Zorya Luhansk
2.0LDDLW
—
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.6LLDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%27%25%
Zorya Luhansk48%Draw27%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi25%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zorya Luhansk48%2.07—
XDraw27%3.71—
2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi25%4.03—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes57%

ours 1.74

No43%

ours 2.35

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZorya LuhanskEpitsentr DunayivtsiCombined
Goals scored0.330.000.33
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners9.014.011.5
Cards3.33.06.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Zorya LuhanskEpitsentr Dunayivtsi

FC Zorya Luhansk 48%, FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 25%. The safest is “FC Zorya Luhansk or draw” at 74%.

FC Zorya Luhansk 48%Draw 27%FK Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 25%
1st half
39 · 39 · 22
2nd half
35 · 37 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 12.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Zorya Luhansk

  • homeDynamo Kyiv0:2
  • awayBukovyna Chernivtsi1:1
  • awayVeres Rivne1:1
  • homeMetalist Kharkiv0:3
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr2:1

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • homeLivyi Bereh0:2
  • awayDynamo Kyiv0:3
  • homeBukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
  • awayKudrivka3:0
  • homeVeres Rivne0:0

Head to head

  • 04/12/26Ukrainian Premier League1:0
  • 10/03/25Ukrainian Premier League2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Metalist Kharkiv640212:412
6Veres Rivne72326:69
7Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
8LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
9Zorya Luhansk72237:118
10Livyi Bereh61414:37
11Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.