Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.13
All matches
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Karpaty Lviv — Kudrivka, Ukrainian Premier League
Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League
Karpaty Lviv
2.3DWLDW
Kudrivka
1.2LLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
65%23%12%
Karpaty Lviv65%Draw23%Kudrivka12%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Karpaty Lviv1.54—
XDraw4.35—
2Kudrivka8.20—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKarpaty LvivKudrivkaCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.501.672.17
Corners8.76.37.5
Cards2.32.75.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Karpaty LvivKudrivka
FC Karpaty Lviv 65%, FK Kudrivka 12%. The safest is “FC Karpaty Lviv or draw” at 84%.
FC Karpaty Lviv 65%Draw 23%FK Kudrivka 12%
1st half
45 · 36 · 19
2nd half
40 · 39 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Karpaty Lviv
- homeVeres Rivne1:1
- awayKolos Kovalivka2:0
- homeShakhtar Donetsk1:2
- awayLivyi Bereh1:1
- homeBukovyna Chernivtsi3:0
Kudrivka
- awayVeres Rivne1:2
- homeKolos Kovalivka2:3
- awayPolissya Zhytomyr1:5
- homeEpitsentr Dunayivtsi0:3
- homeObolon-Brovar Kyiv0:0
Head to head
- 03/08/26Ukrainian Premier League1:1
- 08/29/25Ukrainian Premier League2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Shakhtar Donetsk760115:418
Shakhtar Donetsk760115:4182
Polissya Zhytomyr760115:518
Polissya Zhytomyr760115:5183Karpaty Lviv742115:514
Karpaty Lviv742115:5144
Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
Dynamo Kyiv64119:5135
Metalist Kharkiv640212:412
Metalist Kharkiv640212:4126
Veres Rivne72326:69
Veres Rivne72326:697
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:788
LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
LNZ Cherkasy72235:889
Zorya Luhansk72237:118
Zorya Luhansk72237:11810
Livyi Bereh61414:37
Livyi Bereh61414:3711
Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:6712
Hirnyk61237:105
Hirnyk61237:10513
Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
Kolos Kovalivka61236:10514
Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
Chornomorets Odessa61233:7515
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:12416Kudrivka70255:182
Kudrivka70255:182Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.