Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74
No43%
ours 2.35
All matches
—
Elche — Valencia, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Elche
2.0WLDLL
Valencia
1.7LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%25%27%
Elche48%Draw25%Valencia27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Elche2.09—
XDraw3.94—
2Valencia3.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricElcheValenciaCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners7.09.78.3
Cards3.02.75.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ElcheValencia
Elche CF 48%, Valencia CF 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Elche CF 48%Draw 25%Valencia CF 27%
1st half
38 · 41 · 21
2nd half
38 · 35 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Elche
- awayEspanyol3:1
- homeReal Madrid2:3
- awayAthletic Bilbao1:1
- homeReal Sociedad2:3
- awayRacing Santander2:3
Valencia
- homeReal Sociedad2:3
- awayAlaves1:0
- awaySevilla0:1
- homeBarcelona0:5
- awayDeportivo La Coruna1:3
Head to head
- 04/11/26La Liga1:0
- 01/10/26La Liga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16
Racing Santander721411:217
Racing Santander721411:21717
Levante61238:125
Levante61238:12518Elche712411:175
Elche712411:17519Valencia71154:134
Valencia71154:13420
Malaga70343:123
Malaga70343:123Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.