All matches

Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid CF, La Liga

Spain, La LigaMatch finished

Elche CF
2.0WLDLL
2:3HT 0:2
Real Madrid CF
4.0LWWWL
Pre-match forecastpublished
192161
Elche CF19%Draw21%Real Madrid CF61%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.29xG1.98
56Possession, %44
11Shots20
3Shots on target4
2Corners5
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
21Fouls8
1Offsides5

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 79 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Real Madrid CF61%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.562%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes58%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Elche CF19%5.41—
XDraw21%4.87—
2Real Madrid CF61%1.64—

Form and context

Elche CF

  • awayReial Club Deportiu Espanyol3:1
  • homeReal Madrid CF2:3
  • awayAthletic Club Bilbao1:1
  • homeReal Sociedad de Fútbol2:3
  • awayReal Racing Club de Santander2:3

Real Madrid CF

  • awayClub Atlético de Madrid1:2
  • awayElche CF3:2
  • homeRayo Vallecano4:1
  • homeFC Internazionale Milano2:1
  • awayReal Betis Balompié0:1

Head to head

  • 09/15/26La Liga2:3
  • 03/14/26La Liga1:4
  • 11/23/25La Liga2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Club Atlético de Madrid751116:716
3Real Betis Balompié75119:716
4Real Madrid CF750218:815
5Sevilla FC741210:913
6Deportivo Alavés732211:611
7Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña724110:810
8Real Sociedad de Fútbol73139:1310
9Villarreal CF722313:128
10Athletic Club Bilbao62227:68
11Getafe Club de Fútbol72234:78
12Rayo Vallecano722311:168
13CA Osasuna72236:138
14Real Club Celta de Vigo71428:67
15Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol721410:107
16Real Racing Club de Santander721411:217
17Levante UD61238:125
18Elche CF712411:175
19Valencia CF71154:134
20Málaga CF70343:123

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.