All matches

Deportivo Alavés 0:1 Valencia CF, La Liga

Spain, La LigaMatch finished

Deportivo Alavés
1.7DLLWW
0:1HT 0:0
Valencia CF
1.7LWLLL
Pre-match forecastpublished
502624
Deportivo Alavés50%Draw26%Valencia CF24%

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.59xG1.06
43Possession, %57
15Shots10
3Shots on target3
2Corners5
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
7Fouls14
3Offsides4

How the forecast did

In each market the forecast is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main markets landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast markets: landed 68 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Deportivo Alavés50%

    Actual: Valencia CF — we had 24%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.555%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No52%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes in a market are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportivo Alavés50%2.00—
XDraw26%3.83—
2Valencia CF24%4.19—

Form and context

Deportivo Alavés

  • awayAthletic Club Bilbao0:0
  • homeValencia CF0:1
  • awayReal Racing Club de Santander1:2
  • homeCA Osasuna5:2
  • homeVillarreal CF1:0

Valencia CF

  • homeReal Sociedad de Fútbol2:3
  • awayDeportivo Alavés1:0
  • awaySevilla FC0:1
  • homeFC Barcelona0:5
  • awayReal Club Deportivo de La Coruña1:3

Head to head

  • 09/15/26La Liga0:1
  • 03/08/26La Liga2:3
  • 10/20/25La Liga0:0
  • 05/14/25La Liga1:0
  • 12/22/24La Liga2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Real Madrid CF750218:815
5Sevilla FC741210:913
6Deportivo Alavés732211:611
7Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña724110:810
8Real Sociedad de Fútbol73139:1310
9Villarreal CF722313:128
10Athletic Club Bilbao62227:68
11Getafe Club de Fútbol72234:78
12Rayo Vallecano722311:168
13CA Osasuna72236:138
14Real Club Celta de Vigo71428:67
15Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol721410:107
16Real Racing Club de Santander721411:217
17Levante UD61238:125
18Elche CF712411:175
19Valencia CF71154:134
20Málaga CF70343:123

Full breakdown

Every market of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.