All matches

Stoke City vs Sheffield United: result 2:1

England, ChampionshipMatch finished

Final score 2:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Sheffield United 37%, Stoke City 33%, draw 29%.

1.6WDWLW
2:1HT 0:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
33%29%37%
Stoke CityPrice 2.3333%DrawPrice 3.3229%Sheffield UnitedPrice 2.9437%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.36xG0.90
62Possession, %38
12Shots8
5Shots on target3
8Corners1
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
13Fouls15
2Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 65 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Sheffield United37%

    Actual: Stoke City — we had 33%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.556%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 44%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes51%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Stoke City33%41%3.002.33-7.2
XDraw29%28%3.393.32+1.7
2Sheffield United37%32%2.692.94+5.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Stoke City

  • homePreston2:0
  • homeBristol City0:0
  • awayDerby County1:0
  • homeMiddlesbrough2:3
  • awayBolton Wanderers2:1

Sheffield United

  • homeWrexham1:0
  • homeDerby County1:1
  • awayBristol City1:0
  • awayPortsmouth2:3
  • homeLincoln City3:0

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Championship2:1
  • 12/29/25Championship1:2
  • 12/06/25Championship0:4
  • 04/25/25Championship0:2
  • 10/26/24Championship0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5West Bromwich1373319:1424
6Birmingham City1365223:1323
7Stoke City1372420:1623
8West Ham1364333:1822
9QPR1355321:1620
10Sheffield United1354417:1519
11Portsmouth1354416:1519
12Millwall1353523:2118

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.