All matches

Preston — Sheffield United, Championship

England, Championship

Preston
1.2DLLWL
—
Sheffield United
2.0LLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%26%35%
Preston39%Draw26%Sheffield United35%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Preston39%2.55—
XDraw26%3.84—
2Sheffield United35%2.88—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.71

No41%

ours 2.42

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricPrestonSheffield UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners13.09.011.0
Cards2.04.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

PrestonSheffield United

Preston North End FC 39%, Sheffield United FC 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Preston North End FC 39%Draw 26%Sheffield United FC 35%
1st half
37 · 37 · 25
2nd half
32 · 39 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Preston

  • awayQPR2:2
  • homeLincoln City0:1
  • awayWatford1:2
  • homeBlackburn Rovers2:1
  • homeBristol City1:3

Sheffield United

  • awayStoke City1:2
  • homeWolverhampton0:1
  • awayBlackburn Rovers2:1
  • homeNorwich City1:3
  • homeBolton Wanderers3:2

Head to head

  • 04/25/26Championship3:2
  • 10/24/25Championship3:2
  • 03/08/25Championship0:1
  • 08/09/24Championship0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Blackburn Rovers823312:129
17Norwich City830516:179
18Sheffield United82339:119
19Portsmouth72239:108
20Watford82247:108
21Cardiff City814310:127
22Derby County81257:145
23Preston81168:154
24Burnley80449:174

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.