Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.20
All matches
—
Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City, Championship
England, Championship
Blackburn Rovers
1.4DWLLD
Stoke City
1.3WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%27%26%
Blackburn Rovers47%Draw27%Stoke City26%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Blackburn Rovers2.11—
XDraw3.77—
2Stoke City3.84—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBlackburn RoversStoke CityCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded0.330.170.50
Corners16.09.012.5
Cards1.04.05.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Blackburn RoversStoke City
Blackburn Rovers FC 47%, Stoke City FC 26%. The safest is “Blackburn Rovers FC or draw” at 74%.
Blackburn Rovers FC 47%Draw 27%Stoke City FC 26%
1st half
34 · 40 · 26
2nd half
37 · 40 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Blackburn Rovers
- awayPortsmouth2:2
- homeMillwall3:1
- homeSheffield United1:2
- awayPreston1:2
- awayLincoln City0:0
Stoke City
- homeSheffield United2:1
- awayWatford2:1
- awayCardiff City1:1
- homeCharlton Athletic4:0
- homeNorwich City1:0
Head to head
- 04/11/26Championship1:1
- 10/04/25Championship1:1
- 03/12/25Championship0:1
- 11/06/24Championship0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
West Bromwich842210:814
West Bromwich842210:8147
QPR834110:713
QPR834110:7138Stoke City841313:1213
Stoke City841313:12139
Bristol City841311:1213
Bristol City841311:121310
Charlton Athletic83327:1012
Charlton Athletic83327:101211
Birmingham City825112:1111
Birmingham City825112:111112
Millwall832315:1511
Millwall832315:151113
Lincoln City83237:811
Lincoln City83237:81114
Wrexham82429:1210
Wrexham82429:121015
Bolton Wanderers831411:1510
Bolton Wanderers831411:151016Blackburn Rovers823312:129
Blackburn Rovers823312:12917
Norwich City830516:179
Norwich City830516:17918
Sheffield United82339:119
Sheffield United82339:119Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.