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QPR vs Preston: result 2:2

England, ChampionshipMatch finished

Final score 2:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: QPR 47%, draw 27%, Preston 26%.

1.8LWLWD
2:2HT 0:2
1.0LDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
47%27%26%
QPR47%Draw27%Preston26%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

3.08xG1.37
61Possession, %39
33Shots14
7Shots on target3
10Corners3
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
8Fouls13
3Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 76 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    QPR47%

    Actual: Draw — we had 27%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.550%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 50%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes54%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1QPR47%2.13—
XDraw27%3.69—
2Preston26%3.85—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

QPR

  • awaySouthampton1:4
  • homeSwansea City5:0
  • awayBirmingham City0:3
  • homeDerby County4:1
  • awayWest Ham1:1

Preston

  • awayStoke City0:2
  • homeWest Bromwich1:1
  • awayWrexham1:4
  • awayBirmingham City0:4
  • homeMillwall0:1

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Championship2:2
  • 04/06/26Championship1:1
  • 08/09/25Championship1:1
  • 04/18/25Championship2:1
  • 12/21/24Championship2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Stoke City1372420:1623
8West Ham1364333:1822
9QPR1355321:1620
10Sheffield United1354417:1519
11Portsmouth1354416:1519
12Millwall1353523:2118
13Blackburn Rovers1353519:2018
14Bristol City1353515:1718
15Norwich City1350823:2415
16Lincoln City1343614:2315
17Cardiff City1335519:2014
18Wrexham1335515:1914
19Bolton Wanderers1342718:2614
20Charlton Athletic1335511:2114
21Watford1332812:2311
22Burnley1316617:259
23Derby County1314811:257
24Preston13121010:275

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.