Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.45
All matches
Malmo — Brommapojkarna, Allsvenskan
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
58%21%21%
Malmo58%Draw21%Brommapojkarna21%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Malmo1.73—
XDraw4.76—
2Brommapojkarna4.74—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with Premium.
72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
MalmoBrommapojkarna
Malmö FF 58%, IF Brommapojkarna 21%. The safest is “No draw” at 79%.
Malmö FF 58%Draw 21%IF Brommapojkarna 21%
1st half
46 · 37 · 17
2nd half
53 · 29 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMalmoBrommapojkarnaCombined
Goals scored1.002.003.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Malmo- Most shots on target in the league — 6.4 per match16 teams in the league
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:1, 3:2, 1:2, 2:1, 2:2
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Brommapojkarna- Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.0 per match16 teams in the league
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches3:0, 0:2, 6:5, 0:1, 1:3
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Malmo
- awayElfsborg0:0
- homeHacken0:1
- homeKalmar FF1:0
- awayVasteras0:2
- homeÖrgryte IS4:1
Brommapojkarna
- awayKalmar FF3:0
- homeDjurgarden0:2
- awayAIK6:5
- homeIFK Goteborg0:1
- awayHammarby1:3
Head to head
- 08/02/26Allsvenskan2:1
- 07/26/25Allsvenskan3:2
- 05/05/25Allsvenskan1:2
- 11/10/24Allsvenskan2:1
- 06/01/24Allsvenskan2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Sweden, Allsvenskan: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.