Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.44
All matches
IFK Goteborg — Malmo, Allsvenskan
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%24%39%
IFK Goteborg36%Draw24%Malmo39%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IFK Goteborg2.77—
XDraw4.08—
2Malmo2.54—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3612 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3602 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3593 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
IFK GoteborgMalmo
IFK Göteborg 36%, Malmö FF 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
IFK Göteborg 36%Draw 24%Malmö FF 39%
1st half
30 · 38 · 32
2nd half
29 · 35 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Over 7.5
68%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricIFK GoteborgMalmoCombined
Goals scored1.401.002.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
IFK Goteborg- Unbeaten at home in 5 matches1:0, 2:1, 1:0, 1:1, 3:2
- Unbeaten in 8 matches1:1, 2:2, 1:0, 1:0, 2:1
- 2nd in the league for corners — 11.5 per match16 teams in the league
Malmo- Most shots on target in the league — 6.4 per match16 teams in the league
- Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings4:0, 0:0, 0:1, 2:1, 4:1
- 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
IFK Goteborg
- awayGAIS1:1
- awayAIK2:2
- homeVasteras1:0
- awayBrommapojkarna1:0
- homeHalmstads2:1
Malmo
- awayElfsborg0:0
- homeHacken0:1
- homeKalmar FF1:0
- awayVasteras0:2
- homeÖrgryte IS4:1
Head to head
- 07/12/26Allsvenskan0:4
- 08/24/25Allsvenskan0:0
- 05/25/25Allsvenskan1:0
- 10/28/24Allsvenskan1:2
- 05/13/24Allsvenskan1:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Sweden, Allsvenskan: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.