Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Heracles — Oss, Eerste Divisie
Netherlands, Eerste Divisie
Heracles
1.1DWLWW
Oss
1.2WLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
70%19%12%
Heracles70%Draw19%Oss12%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Heracles1.44—
XDraw5.31—
2Oss8.64—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHeraclesOssCombined
Goals scored0.671.171.84
Conceded0.500.330.83
Corners12.310.711.5
Cards2.01.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HeraclesOss
Heracles Almelo 70%, FC Oss 12%. The safest is “Heracles Almelo or draw” at 93%.
Heracles Almelo 70%Draw 19%FC Oss 12%
1st half
62 · 28 · 10
2nd half
49 · 32 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 10.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Heracles
- awayHelmond Sport2:2
- homeVitesse2:0
- awayAlmere City0:1
- homeAZ II3:2
- homeDe Graafschap5:0
Oss
- homeMVV4:1
- awayEmmen0:1
- homeDordrecht3:0
- awayVVV Venlo1:3
- awayVitesse1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Heracles971128:1222
Heracles971128:12222
Almere City961219:719
Almere City961219:7193
VVV Venlo960323:1418
VVV Venlo960323:14184
Emmen951319:1816
Emmen951319:18165
MVV951313:1916
MVV951313:19166
Roda JC94329:715
Roda JC94329:7157
RKC Waalwijk935119:1214
RKC Waalwijk935119:12148
Vitesse942315:1314
Vitesse942315:13149
NAC Breda942319:1914
NAC Breda942319:191410
AZ II941422:1713
AZ II941422:171311
Volendam940520:1712
Volendam940520:171212
PSV II933314:1612
PSV II933314:161213
Eindhoven932415:1911
Eindhoven932415:191114
Helmond Sport923415:169
Helmond Sport923415:16915Oss930612:149
Oss930612:14916
Den Bosch922513:188
Den Bosch922513:18817
Ajax II922513:228
Ajax II922513:228Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.