Eerste Divisie

Helmond SportПВВПН
—
Heracles AlmeloПВВВВ
1Helmond Sport19%model5.24
XDraw18%model5.52
2Heracles Almelo63%model1.59
calculated at 23:16, 285 мс

Outcome

Helmond Sport19%
Draw18%
Heracles Almelo63%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Helmond Sport vs Heracles Almelo

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Heracles Almelo travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 63%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Helmond Sport

LWWLD
  • awayFC Den Bosch1:2
  • homePSV Eindhoven II3:1
  • homeVVV Venlo4:2
  • awayAFC Ajax II2:3
  • homeRKC Waalwijk1:1

Heracles Almelo

LWWWW
  • awayAlmere City FC0:1
  • homeAlkmaar Zaanstreek II3:2
  • homeBV De Graafschap5:0
  • awayFC Eindhoven3:1
  • awayFC Utrecht II6:1

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Heracles Almelo760124:1018
2Almere City FC851218:716
3VVV Venlo750219:1115
4RKC Waalwijk734018:913
5Alkmaar Zaanstreek II941422:1713
6SBV Vitesse741213:913
7MVV741210:1513
8SV Roda JC73317:512
9FC Emmen740317:1712
10PSV Eindhoven II933314:1612
11NAC Breda731313:1510
12FC Eindhoven731311:1310
13FC Volendam730417:149
14Helmond Sport722313:128
15AFC Ajax II922513:228
16FC Den Bosch721412:167
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.