All matches

Veres Rivne — Livyi Bereh, Premier League

Ukraine, Premier League

1.4LLLWD
  
1.4DLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
37%36%26%
Veres Rivne37%Draw36%Livyi Bereh26%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Veres Rivne37%2.68—
XDraw36%2.74—
2Livyi Bereh26%3.82—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes46%

ours 2.15

No54%

ours 1.87

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Veres RivneLivyi Bereh

FC Veres Rivne 37%, FK Livyi Bereh 26%. The safest is “FC Veres Rivne or draw” at 74%.

FC Veres Rivne 37%Draw 36%FK Livyi Bereh 26%
1st half
27 · 49 · 24
2nd half
35 · 41 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Under 26.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVeres RivneLivyi BerehCombined
Goals scored0.600.801.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Veres Rivne
  • 3 defeats in a row0:2, 0:2, 0:3, 2:1, 1:1
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
  • 7 days’ rest vs 3 for the opponent
Livyi Bereh
  • 15th of 16 for shots on target — 1.9 per match16 teams in the league
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:0, 1:2, 1:3, 2:0, 0:1

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Veres Rivne

  • homeKolos Kovalivka0:2
  • awayObolon-Brovar Kyiv0:2
  • homeShakhtar Donetsk0:3
  • homeKudrivka2:1
  • awayKarpaty Lviv1:1

Livyi Bereh

  • homeLNZ Cherkasy0:0
  • awayMetalist Kharkiv1:2
  • homeZorya Luhansk1:3
  • awayEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2:0
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:1

Head to head

  • 03/07/25Premier League0:2
  • 09/01/24Premier League1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Veres Rivne102356:139
12Livyi Bereh91536:88
14Kryvbas81347:136

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.