All matches

Veres Rivne — Chornomorets Odessa, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

Veres Rivne
1.5WDDWD
—
Chornomorets Odessa
1.1DLDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%28%21%
Veres Rivne50%Draw28%Chornomorets Odessa21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Veres Rivne50%1.99—
XDraw28%3.51—
2Chornomorets Odessa21%4.68—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes48%

ours 2.10

No52%

ours 1.91

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricVeres RivneChornomorets OdessaCombined
Goals scored0.670.170.84
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners6.37.06.7
Cards3.03.06.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Veres RivneChornomorets Odessa

FC Veres Rivne 50%, FK Chornomorets Odessa 21%. The safest is “FC Veres Rivne or draw” at 79%.

FC Veres Rivne 50%Draw 28%FK Chornomorets Odessa 21%
1st half
36 · 42 · 23
2nd half
36 · 43 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 10.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Veres Rivne

  • homeKudrivka2:1
  • awayKarpaty Lviv1:1
  • homeZorya Luhansk1:1
  • awayLNZ Cherkasy1:0
  • awayEpitsentr Dunayivtsi0:0

Chornomorets Odessa

  • homeObolon-Brovar Kyiv1:1
  • awayShakhtar Donetsk0:2
  • homeLivyi Bereh0:0
  • homeHirnyk1:0
  • awayLNZ Cherkasy0:2

Head to head

  • 04/20/25Ukrainian Premier League2:1
  • 10/20/24Ukrainian Premier League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
5Metalist Kharkiv640212:412
6Veres Rivne72326:69
7Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
8LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
9Zorya Luhansk72237:118
10Livyi Bereh61414:37
11Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
12Hirnyk61237:105
13Kolos Kovalivka61236:105
14Chornomorets Odessa61233:75
15Obolon-Brovar Kyiv70432:124
16Kudrivka70255:182

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.