Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.08
No52%
ours 1.92
All matches
Shakhtar Donetsk — Obolon-Brovar Kyiv, Premier League
Ukraine, Premier League
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.5LWWWW
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv
1.4LWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
86%11%
Shakhtar Donetsk86%Draw11%Obolon-Brovar Kyiv2%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shakhtar Donetsk1.16—
XDraw8.76—
2Obolon-Brovar Kyiv47.62—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2776 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2768 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2759 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Shakhtar DonetskObolon-Brovar Kyiv
FC Shakhtar Donetsk 86%, FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv 2%. The safest is “FC Shakhtar Donetsk or draw” at 98%.
FC Shakhtar Donetsk 86%Draw 11%FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv 2%
1st half
60 · 32 · 8
2nd half
72 · 23 · 6
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 10.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricShakhtar DonetskObolon-Brovar KyivCombined
Goals scored2.200.803.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Shakhtar Donetsk- Best defence in the league — 5 conceded in 9 matches2nd place, 24 points
- Unbeaten at home in 4 matches2:1, 3:1, 3:0, 2:0, 0:2
- Most shots on target in the league — 5.8 per match16 teams in the league
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv- Winless away in 8 matches0:3, 1:1, 1:3, 0:5, 0:0
- Worst attack in the league — 4 goals in 9 matches13th place, 7 points
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Shakhtar Donetsk
- awayInter Milan0:1
- homeKolos Kovalivka2:1
- homeAEK Athens3:1
- awayVeres Rivne3:0
- homeLNZ Cherkasy3:0
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv
- awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:3
- homeVeres Rivne2:0
- awayChornomorets Odessa1:1
- awayLNZ Cherkasy1:3
- awayMetalist Kharkiv0:5
Head to head
- 05/13/26Premier League3:1
- 11/22/25Premier League6:0
- 03/29/25Premier League2:0
- 09/23/24Premier League4:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Polissya Zhytomyr1081123:825
Polissya Zhytomyr1081123:8252
Shakhtar Donetsk980120:524
Shakhtar Donetsk980120:5243
Dynamo Kyiv961214:919
Dynamo Kyiv961214:9194
Metalist Kharkiv860216:618
Metalist Kharkiv860216:6185
Karpaty Lviv943217:815
Karpaty Lviv943217:8156
LNZ Cherkasy942310:914
LNZ Cherkasy942310:9147
Zorya Luhansk942312:1314
Zorya Luhansk942312:13148
Kolos Kovalivka932412:1311
Kolos Kovalivka932412:13119
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi92349:129
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi92349:12910
Veres Rivne102356:139
Veres Rivne102356:13911
Bukovyna Chernivtsi91537:128
Bukovyna Chernivtsi91537:12812
Livyi Bereh81436:87
Livyi Bereh81436:8713
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv91444:157
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv91444:15714
Kryvbas71247:135
Kryvbas71247:13515
Chornomorets Odessa81255:115
Chornomorets Odessa81255:115Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.