All matches

Livyi Bereh — Bukovyna Chernivtsi, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

Livyi Bereh
1.3WLDDD
—
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
1.8LDDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
30%29%41%
Livyi Bereh30%Draw29%Bukovyna Chernivtsi41%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Livyi Bereh30%3.33—
XDraw29%3.39—
2Bukovyna Chernivtsi41%2.47—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes44%

ours 2.25

No56%

ours 1.80

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLivyi BerehBukovyna ChernivtsiCombined
Goals scored0.330.170.50
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners12.311.011.7
Cards1.02.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Livyi BerehBukovyna Chernivtsi

FK Livyi Bereh 30%, FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 40%. The safest is “FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi or draw” at 71%.

FK Livyi Bereh 30%Draw 29%FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 40%
1st half
28 · 47 · 24
2nd half
24 · 44 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Livyi Bereh

  • awayEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2:0
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:1
  • awayChornomorets Odessa0:0
  • homeKarpaty Lviv1:1
  • awayHirnyk1:1

Bukovyna Chernivtsi

  • awayMetalist Kharkiv0:2
  • homeZorya Luhansk1:1
  • awayEpitsentr Dunayivtsi0:0
  • homeDynamo Kyiv3:0
  • awayKarpaty Lviv0:3

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
9Zorya Luhansk72237:118
10Livyi Bereh61414:37
11Bukovyna Chernivtsi71424:67
12Hirnyk61237:105
13Kolos Kovalivka61236:105

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.