Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81book 1.91
No45%
ours 2.24book 1.81
All matches
Bukovyna Chernivtsi — Kryvbas, Premier League
Ukraine, Premier League
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
1.8LDLDD
Kryvbas
2.0LLDLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%28%35%
Bukovyna ChernivtsiMarket 1.8537%DrawMarket 3.5528%KryvbasMarket 4.3835%
Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Bukovyna Chernivtsi2.681.85-14.2
XDraw3.553.55+1.4
2Kryvbas2.904.38+12.8
Big gap with the market. Usually the market knows something the model doesn’t: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2553 matches
Corners
This market opens with Premium.
71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2548 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2528 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Bukovyna ChernivtsiKryvbas
FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 37%, Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 69%.
FK Bukovyna Chernivtsi 37%Draw 28%Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 35%
1st half
24 · 42 · 34
2nd half
41 · 39 · 20
Bookmakers: 1.85 · 3.55 · 4.38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 9.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBukovyna ChernivtsiKryvbasCombined
Goals scored0.800.601.40
Conceded1.801.603.40
Corners10.89.410.1
Cards2.81.64.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Bukovyna Chernivtsi- Unbeaten at home in 5 matches2:2, 1:1, 3:0, 0:0, 0:0
- Most corners in the league in their matches — 11.4 per match16 teams in the league
- Winless in 5 matches1:4, 2:2, 0:2, 1:1, 0:0
Kryvbas- Winless in 5 matches0:3, 0:1, 2:2, 0:1, 1:1
- Relegation zone: 14th of 16
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Bukovyna Chernivtsi
- awayKudrivka1:4
- homePolissya Zhytomyr2:2
- awayMetalist Kharkiv0:2
- homeZorya Luhansk1:1
- awayEpitsentr Dunayivtsi0:0
Kryvbas
- homeLNZ Cherkasy0:3
- awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:1
- homeKolos Kovalivka2:2
- awayChornomorets Odessa0:1
- homeLivyi Bereh1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9
Veres Rivne92346:119
Veres Rivne92346:11910
Kolos Kovalivka822410:138
Kolos Kovalivka822410:13811Bukovyna Chernivtsi91537:128
Bukovyna Chernivtsi91537:12812
Livyi Bereh81436:87
Livyi Bereh81436:8713
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv81434:127
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv81434:12714Kryvbas71247:135
Kryvbas71247:13515
Chornomorets Odessa81255:115
Chornomorets Odessa81255:11516
Kudrivka912610:215
Kudrivka912610:215Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.