Both teams to score
Yes40%
ours 2.48
No60%
ours 1.68
All matches
—
FC Differdange 03 — F91 Dudelange, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
FC Differdange 03
3.5WWWWWF91 Dudelange
2.5LDLWWOutcome probability
75
FC Differdange 0375%Draw14%F91 Dudelange11%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Differdange 031.34—
XDraw7.17—
2F91 Dudelange8.96—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Differdange 03F91 DudelangeCombined
Goals scored1.670.832.50
Conceded0.171.331.50
Corners13.58.010.8
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Differdange 03F91 Dudelange2Table position1161.00%Possession57.30%7Days of rest71Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
FC Differdange 03 look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 75%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
72%
Form and context
FC Differdange 03
- homeFC Swift Hesperange3:0
- homeFC Etzella Ettelbrück1:0
- homeUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 974:1
- awayUS Hostert2:0
- homeRacing FC Union Lëtzebuerg2:1
F91 Dudelange
- homeUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 972:4
- awayUS Hostert0:0
- homeRacing FC Union Lëtzebuerg1:3
- awayFC Wiltz 712:1
- homeUS Rumelange3:2
Head to head
- 03/22/26National Division0:0
- 09/28/25National Division2:2
- 02/15/25National Division1:0
- 08/18/24National Division3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC UNA Strassen880017:224
FC UNA Strassen880017:2242FC Differdange 03870118:621
FC Differdange 03870118:6213
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:1118
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:11184
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:717
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:7175
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:516
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:5166
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
FC Atert Bissen850318:1115
FC Atert Bissen850318:11158
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:1015
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:10159
US Hostert832314:1111
US Hostert832314:111110
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:17711F91 Dudelange82158:157
F91 Dudelange82158:15712
US Rumelange82068:236
US Rumelange82068:23613
FC Victoria Rosport812511:205
FC Victoria Rosport812511:205