Both teams to score
Yes46%
ours 2.16
No54%
ours 1.86
All matches
UNA Strassen — Swift Hesperange, National Division
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
91%
UNA Strassen91%Draw6%Swift Hesperange3%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1UNA Strassen1.10—
XDraw16.81—
2Swift Hesperange30.03—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
UNA StrassenSwift Hesperange
FC UNA Strassen 91%, FC Swift Hesperange 3%. The safest is “FC UNA Strassen or draw” at 97%.
FC UNA Strassen 91%Draw 6%FC Swift Hesperange 3%
1st half
55 · 34 · 10
2nd half
71 · 23 · 6
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most cards: Draw
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUNA StrassenSwift HesperangeCombined
Goals scored1.800.001.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
UNA Strassen- Unbeaten in 11 matches2:0, 1:1, 2:0, 2:0, 2:1
- 3 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 1:1, 2:0, 2:0, 2:1
- Unbeaten at home in 5 matches1:1, 2:0, 2:1, 1:0, 4:0
Swift Hesperange- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches17 goals conceded
- 11 defeats in a row0:3, 0:5, 0:3, 0:3, 0:3
- No goals in the last 5 matches0:3, 0:5, 0:3, 0:3, 0:3
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
UNA Strassen
- awayHostert2:0
- homeRacing Union1:1
- awayWiltz 712:0
- homeRumelange2:0
- awayMondorf2:1
Swift Hesperange
- homeJeunesse Esch0:3
- awayDudelange0:5
- homeVictoria Rosport0:3
- awayDifferdange0:3
- homeResidence Walferdange0:3
Head to head
- 02/08/26National Division6:0
- 08/10/25National Division2:4
- 04/19/25National Division2:1
- 10/26/24National Division0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Luxembourg, National Division: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.