Both teams to score
Yes37%
ours 2.67
No63%
ours 1.60
All matches
—
FC Victoria Rosport — FC Differdange 03, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
FC Victoria Rosport
1.3DLLDWFC Differdange 03
3.5WWWWWOutcome probability
89
FC Victoria Rosport4%Draw7%FC Differdange 0389%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Victoria Rosport22.94—
XDraw14.88—
2FC Differdange 031.12—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Victoria RosportFC Differdange 03Combined
Goals scored1.172.003.17
Conceded1.670.332.00
Corners7.812.610.2
Cards0.0——
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Victoria RosportFC Differdange 0313Table position251.60%Possession61.00%7Days of rest71Matches in 14 days1 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
FC Differdange 03 travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 89%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
69%
Form and context
FC Victoria Rosport
- homeFC Etzella Ettelbrück1:1
- awayUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 970:5
- homeUS Hostert0:2
- awayRacing FC Union Lëtzebuerg2:2
- homeFC Wiltz 714:0
FC Differdange 03
- homeFC Swift Hesperange3:0
- homeFC Etzella Ettelbrück1:0
- homeUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 974:1
- awayUS Hostert2:0
- homeRacing FC Union Lëtzebuerg2:1
Head to head
- 04/19/26National Division0:3
- 10/26/25National Division0:2
- 04/19/25National Division0:2
- 10/27/24National Division0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC UNA Strassen880017:224
FC UNA Strassen880017:2242FC Differdange 03870118:621
FC Differdange 03870118:6213
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:1118
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:11184
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:717
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:7175
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:516
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:5166
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
FC Atert Bissen850318:1115
FC Atert Bissen850318:11158
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:1015
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:10159
US Hostert832314:1111
US Hostert832314:111110
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:17711
F91 Dudelange82158:157
F91 Dudelange82158:15712
US Rumelange82068:236
US Rumelange82068:23613FC Victoria Rosport812511:205
FC Victoria Rosport812511:20514
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:155
FC Etzella Ettelbrück81256:15515
FC Wiltz 71811614:224
FC Wiltz 71811614:224