Both teams to score
Yes37%
ours 2.68
No63%
ours 1.60
All matches
—
FC Differdange 03 — FC Résidence Walferdange, National Division
Luxembourg, National Division
FC Differdange 03
3.5WWWWWFC Résidence Walferdange
2.0WWLWLOutcome probability
77
FC Differdange 0377%Draw13%FC Résidence Walferdange10%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Differdange 031.29—
XDraw7.82—
2FC Résidence Walferdange10.25—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricFC Differdange 03FC Résidence WalferdangeCombined
Goals scored2.332.174.50
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners13.39.311.3
Cards—0.0—
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
FC Differdange 03FC Résidence Walferdange2Table position860.20%Possession47.50%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
FC Differdange 03 look the favourite on home turf and current form — a home win is rated at 77%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
70%
Form and context
FC Differdange 03
- homeFC Swift Hesperange3:0
- homeFC Etzella Ettelbrück1:0
- homeUewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 974:1
- awayUS Hostert2:0
- homeRacing FC Union Lëtzebuerg2:1
FC Résidence Walferdange
- homeUS Mondorf-les-Bains2:1
- awayFC Swift Hesperange3:0
- homeFC UNA Strassen0:3
- awayFC Etzella Ettelbrück5:0
- homeFC Atert Bissen1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
FC UNA Strassen880017:224
FC UNA Strassen880017:2242FC Differdange 03870118:621
FC Differdange 03870118:6213
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:1118
US Mondorf-les-Bains860216:11184
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:717
Racing FC Union Lëtzebuerg852122:7175
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:516
FC Progrès Niederkorn851213:5166
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:1515
Uewer - Nidder Kaerjeng 97850323:15157
FC Atert Bissen850318:1115
FC Atert Bissen850318:11158FC Résidence Walferdange850316:1015
FC Résidence Walferdange850316:10159
US Hostert832314:1111
US Hostert832314:111110
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177
AS la Jeunesse d'Esch821514:177