Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.91
No48%
ours 2.09
All matches
Swift Hesperange — Mondorf, National Division
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
12%78%
Swift Hesperange9%Draw12%Mondorf78%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Swift Hesperange10.59—
XDraw8.14—
2Mondorf1.28—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Swift HesperangeMondorf
FC Swift Hesperange 9%, US Mondorf-les-Bains 78%. The safest is “US Mondorf-les-Bains or draw” at 91%.
FC Swift Hesperange 9%Draw 12%US Mondorf-les-Bains 78%
1st half
16 · 37 · 47
2nd half
20 · 34 · 46
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Under 2.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSwift HesperangeMondorfCombined
Goals scored0.001.601.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Swift Hesperange- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches17 goals conceded
- 11 defeats in a row0:3, 0:5, 0:3, 0:3, 0:3
- No goals in the last 5 matches0:3, 0:5, 0:3, 0:3, 0:3
Mondorf- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
- Won 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings1:0, 2:1, 4:0, 3:0
- 15th of 16 for shots on target — 3.8 per match16 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Swift Hesperange
- homeJeunesse Esch0:3
- awayDudelange0:5
- homeVictoria Rosport0:3
- awayDifferdange0:3
- homeResidence Walferdange0:3
Mondorf
- awayRacing Union0:6
- homeWiltz 714:1
- awayRumelange2:1
- awayResidence Walferdange1:2
- homeUNA Strassen1:2
Head to head
- 05/03/26National Division0:1
- 12/03/25National Division1:2
- 05/11/25National Division0:4
- 12/01/24National Division0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Luxembourg, National Division: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.