All matches

Espanyol vs Getafe prediction

Spain, La Liga

VARStats prediction for 29 November: Espanyol 44%, draw 30%, Getafe 26%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.6WLLDL
  
1.7WLLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%30%26%
Espanyol44%Draw30%Getafe26%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Espanyol44%2.28—
XDraw30%3.29—
2Getafe26%3.89—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes46%

ours 2.19

No54%

ours 1.84

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

EspanyolGetafe

Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol 44%, Getafe Club de Fútbol 26%. The safest is “Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol or draw” at 74%.

Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol 44%Draw 30%Getafe Club de Fútbol 26%
1st half
34 · 48 · 18
2nd half
37 · 34 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Under 27.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEspanyolGetafeCombined
Goals scored0.801.402.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Espanyol
  • Winless at home in 4 matches0:1, 1:3, 1:1, 1:2, 3:0
  • 8 days’ rest vs 2 for the opponent
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
Getafe
  • Winless away in 7 matches0:4, 1:1, 0:3, 0:1, 0:1
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.7 per match20 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Espanyol

  • awayVillarreal1:0
  • awayRacing Santander1:2
  • homeAtletico Madrid0:1
  • awayMalaga1:1
  • homeElche1:3

Getafe

  • homeSevilla3:1
  • awayAthletic Bilbao0:4
  • homeLugano2:5
  • homeRayo Vallecano1:1
  • awayUniversitatea Craiova1:1

Head to head

  • 03/21/26La Liga1:2
  • 12/13/25La Liga1:0
  • 04/18/25La Liga1:0
  • 12/09/24La Liga0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Alaves1133515:1712
11Rayo Vallecano1033415:2012
12Getafe113358:1612
13Deportivo La Coruna1025313:1311
14Espanyol1132613:1411
15Osasuna1032510:2011
16Racing Santander1132615:2911

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.