All matches

Dudelange — Swift Hesperange, National Division

Luxembourg, National Division

Dudelange
2.5LDLWW
—
Swift Hesperange
1.3LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
70%19%11%
Dudelange70%Draw19%Swift Hesperange11%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dudelange70%1.43—
XDraw19%5.31—
2Swift Hesperange11%8.89—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 1.98

No50%

ours 2.02

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with a subscription.

Sign up

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDudelangeSwift HesperangeCombined
Goals scored1.330.001.33
Conceded1.672.834.50
Corners8.013.010.5
Cards—0.0—
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freeSign in

Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

DudelangeSwift Hesperange

F91 Dudelange 70%, FC Swift Hesperange 11%. The safest is “F91 Dudelange or draw” at 88%.

F91 Dudelange 70%Draw 19%FC Swift Hesperange 11%
1st half
45 · 39 · 16
2nd half
49 · 34 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

Sign in

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Sign in

Form and context

Dudelange

  • homeKaerjeng 972:4
  • awayHostert0:0
  • homeRacing Union1:3
  • awayWiltz 712:1
  • homeRumelange3:2

Swift Hesperange

  • awayDifferdange0:3
  • homeResidence Walferdange0:3
  • homeEtzella Ettelbruck0:3
  • awayKaerjeng 970:6
  • homeHostert0:2

Head to head

  • 04/26/26National Division3:0
  • 11/02/25National Division3:1
  • 05/03/25National Division4:0
  • 11/23/24National Division4:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Hostert832314:1111
10Jeunesse Esch821514:177
11Dudelange82158:157
12Rumelange82068:236
13Victoria Rosport812511:205
14Etzella Ettelbruck81256:155
15Wiltz 71811614:224
16Swift Hesperange80082:300

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

Free full access for 3 days when you sign up

Start freePlans

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.