Both teams to score
Yes51%
ours 1.96
No49%
ours 2.04
All matches
—
Colo-Colo — Universidad de Concepcion, Primera División
Chile, Primera División
Colo-Colo
3.2DDWWD
Universidad de Concepcion
1.6LLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
73%17%10%
Colo-Colo73%Draw17%Universidad de Concepcion10%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Colo-Colo1.38—
XDraw5.82—
2Universidad de Concepcion9.85—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColo-ColoUniversidad de ConcepcionCombined
Goals scored1.330.501.83
Conceded0.501.001.50
Corners10.814.512.6
Cards1.54.56.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Colo-ColoUniversidad de Concepcion
CSD Colo-Colo 73%, CD Universidad de Concepción 10%. The safest is “CSD Colo-Colo or draw” at 90%.
CSD Colo-Colo 73%Draw 17%CD Universidad de Concepción 10%
1st half
51 · 34 · 15
2nd half
52 · 33 · 15
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Colo-Colo
- homeConcepcion1:1
- awayHuachipato0:0
- homeAudax Italiano5:1
- awayUniversidad de Chile2:1
- homeO'Higgins2:2
Universidad de Concepcion
- homeHuachipato0:2
- awayPalestino1:2
- awayCoquimbo Unido0:1
- homeUniversidad de Chile2:1
- awayEverton Vina del Mar1:3
Head to head
- 04/26/26Primera División2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Colo-Colo23173348:2254
Colo-Colo23173348:22542
Universidad Catolica23133750:3342
Universidad Catolica23133750:33423
Universidad de Chile23126535:1942
Universidad de Chile23126535:19424
Palestino23113936:3336
Palestino23113936:33365
Deportes Limache231031043:3533
Deportes Limache231031043:35336
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:2633
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:26337
Nublense2388728:3132
Nublense2388728:31328
Concepcion23941025:2631
Concepcion23941025:26319
La Serena2379734:3830
La Serena2379734:383010
Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
Coquimbo Unido2285931:312911
Audax Italiano2377926:3128
Audax Italiano2377926:312812
Huachipato22841031:3928
Huachipato22841031:392813
O'Higgins23831228:3627
O'Higgins23831228:362714
Union La Calera23651223:3523
Union La Calera23651223:352315Universidad de Concepcion23641317:3922
Universidad de Concepcion23641317:392216
Cobresal23631432:4721
Cobresal23631432:4721Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.