All matches

Universidad Catolica — Huachipato, Primera División

Chile, Primera División

  
1.8DWWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
64%18%18%
Universidad Catolica64%Draw18%Huachipato18%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Universidad Catolica64%1.55—
XDraw18%5.54—
2Huachipato18%5.68—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 1.98

No50%

ours 2.02

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Universidad CatolicaHuachipato

CD Universidad Católica 64%, CD Huachipato 18%. The safest is “CD Universidad Católica or draw” at 82%.

CD Universidad Católica 64%Draw 18%CD Huachipato 18%
1st half
48 · 35 · 17
2nd half
47 · 32 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUniversidad CatolicaHuachipatoCombined
Goals scored1.801.203.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Universidad Catolica
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
  • Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings3:0, 0:0, 1:0, 4:0, 0:0
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:1, 1:3, 3:2, 1:0, 3:2
Huachipato
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:1, 2:0, 2:0, 0:0, 1:3
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Universidad Catolica

  • homeAudax Italiano1:1
  • awayUnion La Calera1:3
  • awayPalestino3:2
  • awayEverton Vina del Mar1:0
  • homeO'Higgins3:2

Huachipato

  • awayAudax Italiano1:1
  • homeO'Higgins2:0
  • awayUniversidad de Concepcion2:0
  • homeColo-Colo0:0
  • homeDeportes Limache1:3

Head to head

  • 05/31/26Primera División3:0
  • 11/29/25Primera División0:0
  • 06/14/25Primera División1:0
  • 08/25/24Primera División4:0
  • 03/30/24Primera División0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Colo-Colo26184457:2958
2Universidad de Chile25146545:2048
3Universidad Catolica25134852:3743
4Palestino25115939:3638
5Deportes Limache251141046:3737
6Everton Vina del Mar25106938:3236
7Coquimbo Unido251051038:3535
8Nublense2598830:3835
9La Serena2589839:4233
10Concepcion25951127:3032
11Huachipato24951034:4032
12Audax Italiano2579928:3330
13O'Higgins25841329:3928

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.