Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.90
No47%
ours 2.11
All matches
Concepcion vs Universidad de Chile prediction
VARStats prediction for 29 November: Universidad de Chile 53%, Concepcion 26%, draw 21%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
26%21%53%
Concepcion26%Draw21%Universidad de Chile53%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Concepcion3.84—
XDraw4.67—
2Universidad de Chile1.90—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches
Cards prediction
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
ConcepcionUniversidad de Chile
CD Concepción 26%, CFP Universidad de Chile 52%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
CD Concepción 26%Draw 21%CFP Universidad de Chile 52%
1st half
25 · 42 · 33
2nd half
22 · 32 · 45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots: Over 23.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricConcepcionUniversidad de ChileCombined
Goals scored0.803.404.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Concepcion- 15th of 16 for corners — 9.0 per match16 teams in the league
- Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
- One win in the last 5 matches1:3, 1:1, 1:1, 0:1, 1:0
Universidad de Chile- 17 goals in the last 5 matches0:1, 4:1, 6:0, 3:0, 4:2
- Best defence in the league — 21 conceded in 26 matches2nd place, 48 points
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Concepcion
- awayLa Serena1:3
- homeUnion La Calera1:1
- awayColo-Colo1:1
- homeAudax Italiano0:1
- awayNublense1:0
Universidad de Chile
- awayUniversidad Catolica0:1
- homeEverton Vina del Mar4:1
- homeNublense6:0
- awayLa Serena3:0
- homeCoquimbo Unido4:2
Head to head
- 05/30/26Primera División1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Chile, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.