All matches

Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Limache prediction

Chile, Primera División

VARStats prediction for 29 November: Coquimbo Unido 58%, Deportes Limache 22%, draw 20%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
58%20%22%
Coquimbo Unido58%Draw20%Deportes Limache22%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Coquimbo Unido58%1.71—
XDraw20%5.01—
2Deportes Limache22%4.60—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.43

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Coquimbo UnidoDeportes Limache

CD Coquimbo Unido 58%, Club Deportes Limache 22%. The safest is “No draw” at 80%.

CD Coquimbo Unido 58%Draw 20%Club Deportes Limache 22%
1st half
37 · 43 · 20
2nd half
46 · 28 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots on target: Under 10.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCoquimbo UnidoDeportes LimacheCombined
Goals scored2.201.603.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Coquimbo Unido
  • 11 goals in the last 5 matches1:0, 1:2, 5:2, 2:3, 2:4
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:0, 1:2, 5:2, 2:3, 2:4
Deportes Limache
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 2:2, 0:1, 3:0, 2:0
  • 15th of 16 for yellow cards — 1.8 per match16 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Coquimbo Unido

  • homeUnion La Calera1:0
  • awayNublense1:2
  • homeColo-Colo5:2
  • awayCobresal2:3
  • awayUniversidad de Chile2:4

Deportes Limache

  • awayUniversidad de Concepcion1:0
  • homePalestino2:2
  • awayUnion La Calera0:1
  • homeCobresal3:0
  • homeNublense2:0

Head to head

  • 05/31/26Primera División3:2
  • 08/02/25Primera División2:1
  • 02/28/25Primera División2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Universidad Catolica26144853:3746
4Palestino25115939:3638
5Deportes Limache251141046:3737
6Everton Vina del Mar26107940:3437
7Coquimbo Unido251051038:3535
8Nublense2698930:3935
9La Serena26810839:4234

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.