Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.80
No45%
ours 2.25
All matches
Colo-Colo — Universidad Catolica, Primera División
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
60%19%20%
Colo-Colo60%Draw19%Universidad Catolica20%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Colo-Colo1.66—
XDraw5.16—
2Universidad Catolica4.92—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Colo-ColoUniversidad Catolica
CSD Colo-Colo 60%, CD Universidad Católica 20%. The safest is “No draw” at 81%.
CSD Colo-Colo 60%Draw 19%CD Universidad Católica 20%
1st half
43 · 36 · 21
2nd half
50 · 32 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total fouls: Under 24.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricColo-ColoUniversidad CatolicaCombined
Goals scored1.801.803.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Colo-Colo- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches1:1, 5:1, 2:2, 3:1, 3:0
- League leaders — 55 points from 25 matches
- Most shots on target in the league — 5.7 per match16 teams in the league
Universidad Catolica- Best attack in the league — 52 goals in 25 matches3rd place, 43 points
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches8 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:1, 1:3, 3:2, 1:0, 3:2
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Colo-Colo
- awayPalestino1:1
- awayCoquimbo Unido2:5
- homeConcepcion1:1
- awayHuachipato0:0
- homeAudax Italiano5:1
Universidad Catolica
- homeAudax Italiano1:1
- awayUnion La Calera1:3
- awayPalestino3:2
- awayEverton Vina del Mar1:0
- homeO'Higgins3:2
Head to head
- 05/24/26Primera División2:1
- 08/16/25Primera División1:4
- 07/06/25Primera División0:2
- 10/03/24Primera División1:0
- 04/20/24Primera División1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Chile, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.