Both teams to score
Yes44%
ours 2.26
No56%
ours 1.80
All matches
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CD Coquimbo Unido — CSD Colo-Colo, Primera División
Chile, Primera División
CD Coquimbo Unido
2.8LLWLDCSD Colo-Colo
3.2DDWWDOutcome probability
372340
CD Coquimbo Unido37%Draw23%CSD Colo-Colo40%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CD Coquimbo Unido2.70—
XDraw4.38—
2CSD Colo-Colo2.49—
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCD Coquimbo UnidoCSD Colo-ColoCombined
Goals scored1.172.003.17
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners11.411.711.5
Cards2.81.74.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
One argument in three stages: what the data shows, how the model reads it, and what follows.
- 1
Signals
Standing, freshness and possession. Biggest gaps first.
CD Coquimbo UnidoCSD Colo-Colo10Table position148.20%Possession63.30%14Days of rest140Matches in 14 days0 - 2
Reading
Written from the numbers of this run, not prepared in advance.
CSD Colo-Colo travel as favourites: despite playing away, a win is rated at 40%.
Most likely scorelines:…
- 3
Conclusion
Two options at different prices of risk, and the largest gaps against the market.
Safe pickRisky pickThe full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
69%
Form and context
CD Coquimbo Unido
- awayCD Cobresal2:3
- awayCFP Universidad de Chile2:4
- homeCD Universidad de Concepción1:0
- homeCD Universidad Católica1:2
- awayCD Concepción1:1
CSD Colo-Colo
- homeCD Concepción1:1
- awayCD Huachipato0:0
- homeAudax Italiano La Florida SADP5:1
- awayCFP Universidad de Chile2:1
- homeCD O'Higgins2:2
Head to head
- 05/03/26Primera División1:3
- 10/19/25Primera División1:0
- 04/26/25Primera División0:2
- 08/16/24Primera División0:2
- 03/17/24Primera División0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1CSD Colo-Colo23173348:2254
CSD Colo-Colo23173348:22542
CD Universidad Católica23133750:3342
CD Universidad Católica23133750:33423
CFP Universidad de Chile23126535:1942
CFP Universidad de Chile23126535:19424
CD Palestino23113936:3336
CD Palestino23113936:33365
Club Deportes Limache231031043:3533
Club Deportes Limache231031043:35336
Everton de Viña del Mar2396834:2633
Everton de Viña del Mar2396834:26337
Deportivo Ñublense SADP2388728:3132
Deportivo Ñublense SADP2388728:31328
CD Concepción23941025:2631
CD Concepción23941025:26319
CD La Serena2379734:3830
CD La Serena2379734:383010CD Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
CD Coquimbo Unido2285931:312911
Audax Italiano La Florida SADP2377926:3128
Audax Italiano La Florida SADP2377926:312812
CD O'Higgins23831228:3627
CD O'Higgins23831228:3627