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Charlton Athletic — Sheffield United, Championship: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

England, Championship

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
31%27%42%
Charlton AthleticPrice 2.9531%DrawPrice 3.4227%Sheffield UnitedPrice 2.2842%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Charlton Athletic31%32%3.222.95-0.5
XDraw27%27%3.703.42+0.1
2Sheffield United42%42%2.382.28+0.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81price 1.68

No45%

ours 2.24price 2.06

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Charlton AthleticSheffield United

Charlton Athletic FC 31%, Sheffield United FC 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Charlton Athletic FC 31%Draw 27%Sheffield United FC 42%
1st half
21 · 39 · 40
2nd half
29 · 35 · 36

Prices: 2.95 · 3.42 · 2.28

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCharlton AthleticSheffield UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.801.602.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Charlton Athletic
  • Winless in 10 matches0:3, 1:3, 0:2, 2:2, 1:1
  • Winless at home in 4 matches1:3, 1:1, 0:0, 0:0, 1:0
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Sheffield United
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 1:1, 1:0, 2:3, 3:0
  • 23rd of 24 for shots — 10.8 per match24 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Charlton Athletic

  • awayMiddlesbrough0:3
  • homeNorwich City1:3
  • awayWatford0:2
  • awayBurnley2:2
  • homeBristol City1:1

Sheffield United

  • homeWrexham1:0
  • homeDerby County1:1
  • awayBristol City1:0
  • awayPortsmouth2:3
  • homeLincoln City3:0

Head to head

  • 01/17/26Championship1:0
  • 09/20/25Championship1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8West Ham1364333:1822
9QPR1355321:1620
10Sheffield United1354417:1519
11Portsmouth1354416:1519
12Millwall1353523:2118
13Blackburn Rovers1353519:2018
14Bristol City1353515:1718
15Norwich City1350823:2415
16Lincoln City1343614:2315
17Cardiff City1335519:2014
18Wrexham1335515:1914
19Bolton Wanderers1342718:2614
20Charlton Athletic1335511:2114
21Watford1332812:2311
22Burnley1316617:259

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.