All matches

Universidad Catolica — Universidad de Chile, Primera División

Chile, Primera División

Universidad Catolica
2.8WWWWL
—
Universidad de Chile
3.1WWLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%22%37%
Universidad Catolica40%Draw22%Universidad de Chile37%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Universidad Catolica40%2.47—
XDraw22%4.45—
2Universidad de Chile37%2.70—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.27

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUniversidad CatolicaUniversidad de ChileCombined
Goals scored1.501.503.00
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners11.811.311.5
Cards2.32.54.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Universidad CatolicaUniversidad de Chile

CD Universidad Católica 40%, CFP Universidad de Chile 37%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

CD Universidad Católica 40%Draw 22%CFP Universidad de Chile 37%
1st half
29 · 37 · 34
2nd half
31 · 38 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Universidad Catolica

  • awayPalestino3:2
  • awayEverton Vina del Mar1:0
  • homeO'Higgins3:2
  • awayCoquimbo Unido2:1
  • homeNublense1:2

Universidad de Chile

  • awayLa Serena3:0
  • homeCoquimbo Unido4:2
  • awayUniversidad de Concepcion1:2
  • homeColo-Colo1:2
  • awayDeportes Limache3:1

Head to head

  • 04/25/26Primera División0:1
  • 10/26/25Primera División1:0
  • 05/03/25Primera División0:1
  • 10/19/24Primera División1:2
  • 05/18/24Primera División2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Colo-Colo23173348:2254
2Universidad Catolica23133750:3342
3Universidad de Chile23126535:1942
4Palestino23113936:3336
5Deportes Limache231031043:3533

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.