All matches

Deportes Limache — Audax Italiano, Primera División

Chile, Primera División

Deportes Limache
1.6LWWLW
—
Audax Italiano
1.9WWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%22%28%
Deportes Limache50%Draw22%Audax Italiano28%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Deportes Limache50%2.00—
XDraw22%4.54—
2Audax Italiano28%3.56—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.71

No42%

ours 2.41

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDeportes LimacheAudax ItalianoCombined
Goals scored0.830.501.33
Conceded0.670.831.50
Corners6.812.39.5
Cards3.32.55.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Deportes LimacheAudax Italiano

Club Deportes Limache 50%, Audax Italiano La Florida SADP 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

Club Deportes Limache 50%Draw 22%Audax Italiano La Florida SADP 28%
1st half
43 · 36 · 21
2nd half
36 · 36 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Deportes Limache

  • awayUnion La Calera0:1
  • homeCobresal3:0
  • homeNublense2:0
  • homeEverton Vina del Mar0:3
  • awayHuachipato3:1

Audax Italiano

  • homeO'Higgins1:0
  • awayConcepcion1:0
  • awayColo-Colo1:5
  • homeUnion La Calera0:0
  • awayEverton Vina del Mar1:1

Head to head

  • 04/25/26Primera División2:2
  • 08/11/25Primera División4:0
  • 03/08/25Primera División1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Universidad de Chile23126535:1942
4Palestino23113936:3336
5Deportes Limache231031043:3533
6Everton Vina del Mar2396834:2633
7Nublense2388728:3132
8Concepcion23941025:2631
9La Serena2379734:3830
10Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
11Audax Italiano2377926:3128
12Huachipato22841031:3928
13O'Higgins23831228:3627

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.