Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.63
No39%
ours 2.59
All matches
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Cobresal — Everton Vina del Mar, Primera División
Chile, Primera División
Cobresal
1.5WLWDL
Everton Vina del Mar
1.7WLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%22%41%
Cobresal37%Draw22%Everton Vina del Mar41%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cobresal2.69—
XDraw4.61—
2Everton Vina del Mar2.43—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCobresalEverton Vina del MarCombined
Goals scored1.331.502.83
Conceded1.330.501.83
Corners12.38.510.4
Cards2.01.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
CobresalEverton Vina del Mar
CD Cobresal 37%, Everton de Viña del Mar 41%. The safest is “No draw” at 79%.
CD Cobresal 37%Draw 22%Everton de Viña del Mar 41%
1st half
31 · 34 · 35
2nd half
31 · 36 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Cobresal
- homeCoquimbo Unido3:2
- awayDeportes Limache0:3
- homePalestino2:0
- awayLa Serena3:3
- homeConcepcion0:2
Everton Vina del Mar
- awayNublense3:1
- homeUniversidad Catolica0:1
- awayDeportes Limache3:0
- homeUniversidad de Concepcion3:1
- homeAudax Italiano1:1
Head to head
- 04/26/26Primera División1:3
- 11/09/25Primera División1:2
- 05/24/25Primera División2:2
- 10/05/24Primera División2:1
- 05/12/24Primera División3:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Palestino23113936:3336
Palestino23113936:33365
Deportes Limache231031043:3533
Deportes Limache231031043:35336Everton Vina del Mar2396834:2633
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:26337
Nublense2388728:3132
Nublense2388728:31328
Concepcion23941025:2631
Concepcion23941025:26319
La Serena2379734:3830
La Serena2379734:383010
Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
Coquimbo Unido2285931:312911
Audax Italiano2377926:3128
Audax Italiano2377926:312812
Huachipato22841031:3928
Huachipato22841031:392813
O'Higgins23831228:3627
O'Higgins23831228:362714
Union La Calera23651223:3523
Union La Calera23651223:352315
Universidad de Concepcion23641317:3922
Universidad de Concepcion23641317:392216Cobresal23631432:4721
Cobresal23631432:4721Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.