All matches

Coquimbo Unido — Union La Calera, Primera División

Chile, Primera División

Coquimbo Unido
2.8LLWLD
—
Union La Calera
1.1WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
61%21%17%
Coquimbo Unido61%Draw21%Union La Calera17%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Coquimbo Unido61%1.63—
XDraw21%4.73—
2Union La Calera17%5.75—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.05

No51%

ours 1.95

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCoquimbo UnidoUnion La CaleraCombined
Goals scored0.830.331.16
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners14.09.511.8
Cards2.33.05.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera

CD Coquimbo Unido 61%, CD Unión La Calera 17%. The safest is “CD Coquimbo Unido or draw” at 79%.

CD Coquimbo Unido 61%Draw 21%CD Unión La Calera 17%
1st half
39 · 44 · 17
2nd half
40 · 38 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Over 3.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Coquimbo Unido

  • awayCobresal2:3
  • awayUniversidad de Chile2:4
  • homeUniversidad de Concepcion1:0
  • homeUniversidad Catolica1:2
  • awayConcepcion1:1

Union La Calera

  • homeDeportes Limache1:0
  • awayO'Higgins1:2
  • homeLa Serena0:1
  • awayAudax Italiano0:0
  • awayNublense1:2

Head to head

  • 04/24/26Primera División2:1
  • 11/02/25Primera División2:0
  • 05/17/25Primera División1:0
  • 11/02/24Primera División0:0
  • 05/24/24Primera División2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Concepcion23941025:2631
9La Serena2379734:3830
10Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
11Audax Italiano2377926:3128
12Huachipato22841031:3928
13O'Higgins23831228:3627
14Union La Calera23651223:3523
15Universidad de Concepcion23641317:3922
16Cobresal23631432:4721

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.