Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.78
No44%
ours 2.28
All matches
—
O'Higgins — Nublense, Primera División
Chile, Primera División
O'Higgins
1.9LWLLD
Nublense
1.7LLLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
50%22%28%
O'Higgins50%Draw22%Nublense28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1O'Higgins2.00—
XDraw4.49—
2Nublense3.62—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricO'HigginsNublenseCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded1.001.332.33
Corners10.07.38.6
Cards2.83.56.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
O'HigginsNublense
CD O'Higgins 50%, Deportivo Ñublense SADP 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.
CD O'Higgins 50%Draw 22%Deportivo Ñublense SADP 28%
1st half
34 · 38 · 27
2nd half
41 · 36 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
O'Higgins
- awayAudax Italiano0:1
- homeUnion La Calera2:1
- awayUniversidad Catolica2:3
- homePalestino0:1
- awayColo-Colo2:2
Nublense
- homeEverton Vina del Mar1:3
- awayLa Serena1:2
- awayDeportes Limache0:2
- homeConcepcion0:1
- awayUniversidad Catolica2:1
Head to head
- 04/25/26Primera División2:0
- 11/08/25Primera División4:2
- 05/25/25Primera División1:0
- 10/19/24Primera División1:3
- 05/19/24Primera División2:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5
Deportes Limache231031043:3533
Deportes Limache231031043:35336
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:2633
Everton Vina del Mar2396834:26337Nublense2388728:3132
Nublense2388728:31328
Concepcion23941025:2631
Concepcion23941025:26319
La Serena2379734:3830
La Serena2379734:383010
Coquimbo Unido2285931:3129
Coquimbo Unido2285931:312911
Audax Italiano2377926:3128
Audax Italiano2377926:312812
Huachipato22841031:3928
Huachipato22841031:392813O'Higgins23831228:3627
O'Higgins23831228:362714
Union La Calera23651223:3523
Union La Calera23651223:352315
Universidad de Concepcion23641317:3922
Universidad de Concepcion23641317:3922Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.