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Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough: result 2:2

England, ChampionshipMatch finished

Final score 2:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Birmingham City 35%, Middlesbrough 35%, draw 29%.

Birmingham City
2.2WLWWW
2:2HT 0:1
Middlesbrough
2.5WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
35%29%35%
Birmingham CityPrice 2.6835%DrawPrice 3.4629%MiddlesbroughPrice 2.4235%
Line-upsBirmingham City4-2-3-1—Middlesbrough3-4-2-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Birmingham City4-2-3-1Middlesbrough3-4-2-1

Birmingham City4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Davies

Starting XI

  • 1GKEnglandJ. Beadle
  • 26DFNigeriaB. Osayi-Samuel
  • 5DFGermanyP. Neumann
  • 4DFAustriaC. Klarer
  • 20DFEnglandA. Cochrane
  • 24MFJapanT. Iwata
  • 14MFColombiaJ. Solis
  • 7FWSpainCarlos Vicente
  • 28FWEnglandJ. Stansfield
  • 17FWCanadaL. Millar
  • 32FWArgentinaL. Vázquez

Substitutes

  • 21GKEnglandR. Allsop
  • 3DFEnglandL. Buchanan
  • 33FWGermanyM. Ducksch
  • 23DFEnglandD. Fry
  • 2DFEnglandE. Laird
  • 25DFDenmarkK. Lund
  • 40MFM. Mazwi
  • 8MFKorea RepublicPaik Seung-Ho
  • 16FWEnglandP. Roberts

Middlesbrough3-4-2-1

Coach: K. Hellberg

Starting XI

  • 1GKCzechiaR. Vítek
  • 12DFEnglandL. Ayling
  • 4DFEnglandA. Phillips
  • 29DFFranceA. Malanda
  • 2DFEnglandC. Brittain
  • 10MFUSAA. Morris
  • 8MFAustraliaR. McGree
  • 17FWUSAM. Arfsten
  • 11MFEnglandA. Cozier-Duberry
  • 14MFEnglandM. Peart-Harris
  • 7FWEnglandW. Lankshear

Substitutes

  • 22FWScotlandK. Joseph
  • 30DFBrazilNeto Borges
  • 21MFUSAR. Pukštas
  • 16FWEcuadorJ. Sarmiento
  • 13FWSlovakiaD. Strelec
  • 9FWEnglandT. Conway
  • 3DFEnglandS. Byram
  • 31GKEnglandS. Brynn
  • 6MFUSAS. Berhalter

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.65xG1.57
48Possession, %52
15Shots15
5Shots on target4
5Corners3
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
11Fouls11
1Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 80 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Birmingham City35%

    Actual: Draw — we had 29%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.555%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 45%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes51%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Birmingham City35%35%2.822.68+0.7
XDraw29%26%3.413.46+2.9
2Middlesbrough35%39%2.842.42-3.6

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Birmingham City

  • awayLincoln City3:1
  • awayCardiff City0:1
  • homeQPR3:0
  • homePreston4:0
  • awayWest Bromwich1:0

Middlesbrough

  • homeCharlton Athletic3:0
  • awayBolton Wanderers5:1
  • homeCardiff City2:2
  • awayStoke City3:2
  • homeWolverhampton1:0

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Championship2:2
  • 03/02/26Championship1:3
  • 11/08/25Championship1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Middlesbrough1384130:1728
2Southampton1383228:1327
3Swansea City1382320:1326
4Wolverhampton1373323:1624
5West Bromwich1373319:1424
6Birmingham City1365223:1323
7Stoke City1372420:1623
8West Ham1364333:1822

More matches in this competition

England, Championship: upcoming and recently played.

All competition matches →

Upcoming

Portsmouth–Swansea City372835Preston–Sheffield United292545Watford–Lincoln City402733Blackburn Rovers–Stoke City382834QPR–Burnley472528

Played

Burnley0:0Portsmouth442729×Southampton4:1QPR522325✓Middlesbrough3:0Charlton Athletic79137✓

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.