Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
Ammanford — Flint Town United, Premier League
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
19%21%61%
Ammanford19%Draw21%Flint Town United61%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ammanford5.36—
XDraw4.83—
2Flint Town United1.65—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches
Cards
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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AmmanfordFlint Town United
Ammanford AFC 19%, Flint Town United FC 61%. The safest is “Flint Town United FC or draw” at 81%.
Ammanford AFC 19%Draw 21%Flint Town United FC 61%
1st half
19 · 30 · 51
2nd half
19 · 31 · 50
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAmmanfordFlint Town UnitedCombined
Goals scored0.801.402.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Ammanford- Relegation zone: 14th of 16
- Fewest shots in the league — 6.0 per match16 teams in the league
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches18 goals conceded
Flint Town United- 3 clean sheets in the last 52:0, 0:1, 1:0, 3:0, 1:4
- Most corners in the league in their matches — 10.9 per match16 teams in the league
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Ammanford
- awayTNS0:9
- awayCambrian & Clydach Vale1:0
- homeHolywell Town2:1
- awayFlint Town United0:3
- homePenybont1:5
Flint Town United
- awayTrefelin2:0
- homeColwyn Bay0:1
- awayHaverfordwest1:0
- homeAmmanford3:0
- awayAirbus UK1:4
Head to head
- 09/26/26Premier League0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Wales, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.